4:35pm – NBC
What a spot to be in if you are the Colts. If history and questionably relevant stats matter, you have had quite the run in KC in the playoffs. 4-0 in the last four meetings! One win over current head coach Andy Reid. Is the future preordained for Indy to move on to the AFC championship? For my take and my free bet tip for today, let’s see how these teams got here.
Playing on the road last week as small dogs didn’t stop the Colts from upsetting Houston 21-7. The run game was on point, Marlon Mack had 148 yards and a TD. The passing game looked like prime Andrew Luck with 222 yards, two TD’s and one interception. Plus the defense held its own, sacking Deshaun Watson three times, and hitting him eight more.
Getting to Patrick Mahomes should be tough for this squad, as Kansas City allowed 26 sacks all year on their star QB. Five of those sacks were in one week against Arizona, while half the time the line allowed one or zero sacks in a game. His ability to get out of jams and scramble as well as keep the play going downfield will extend this Colts defense.
The run explosion Marlon Mack had against Houston may see the same success against the Chiefs. Not known for their defense this year, KC ranks as the worst remaining playoff team against the run, allowing over 130 yards per game. Their passing defense isn’t much better, allowing over 270 through the air.
Andrew Luck may not need much help to keep his streak of great games going, completing 64% of his passes in the last five games, with over a 2-1 TD to INT ratio. All five games were also wins, which helped get the team to the playoffs after a rough start to the year. The Colts are focused on winning, and if everything keeps humming along the game could be close.
Kansas City Chiefs
This team has been making headlines since the first week of the season. Star QB Patrick Mahomes has already become a household name, and despite having a monster season, didn’t get me to my fantasy playoffs this year, (the rest of my team was a mess).
5000+ passing yards, 50 TD’s 66% completions, Mahomes is the prototype of the modern NFL QB. His receiving corps is nothing to laugh at, each with a particular set of skills that make them a nightmare for defenses. No one could really stop this team, posting under 30 points just 3 times this year.
Wide receiver Tyreek Hill loves to outrun defensive backs while making the position look easy to play. Travis Kelce had career highs in all major categories, catches, yards, and touchdowns.
For my free bet tip, I think I have to hop on the train to KC. This offense just seems too stellar to stop. Yes, Indy boasts a great run defense, and the Chiefs lost a bit of efficiency with Kareem Hunt gone. I feel like this is a stand that not only Kansas City, but Andy Reid has to take, it’s his best team ever. If he can’t get it done this year, at home, major questions will have to be answered.