9pm – ESPNU
What happened Texas? What a crap roller coaster yesterday with my free bet tip. Money burn by halftime, only to regain hope in the last 3 minutes; then the crash. OK, moving on. Let’s try not to take a road favorite today for my free bet tip.
Virginia Cavaliers (13-0, 1-0 ACC)
The Cavaliers will stroll into Boston College Wednesday night. And by stroll I mean crawl. Virginia hoards possessions like Scrooge McDuck hoards gold. Every one could be their last. Expect a pace that Boston College won’t be used to, since they get about 10 more touches a game on average.
This offense is built for the strangling of other teams that are ineffective when it comes to scoring. Unless you have an offense that can beat the zone, and has the stamina on defense to hang for the full shot clock, prepare to get beat.
Of course, the offense has to have everything go right in order to win, especially when chances are minimized. In spite of the slow pace, there are three players for Virginia that are averaging double figures in points this year. Kyle Guy is leading the team overall, with 15.8 points a game, and is hitting over 48% of his threes, on over 6.5 attempts per game.
Virginia is on a 10 game road winning streak right now, which is tops in NCAA. Their last win on the road was a breezy 17 point victory at South Carolina last month. Success at Boston College should be easy to come by, but will they be able to cover the line?
Boston College (9-4, 0-1 ACC)
Tough spot even at home tonight. What makes things worse for this team is Freshman guard Wynston Tabbs will be out. Taking away over 14 points a game from this team against Virginia and their defense will be devastating. On top of that, Steffon Mitchell, the sophomore forward who is averaging 8.5 rebounds a game looks like he is out as well. If this is true, expect this line to hop up a bit from -11, which is already half a point higher than when it opened.
BC did just hang tough with Virginia Tech on the road, losing by 11. If there is some sort of home court advantage, they will definitely need all of it to hang tonight. If they can play some solid offense with plenty of ball movement and quick transition, Virginia might get a little off balance.
Ky vs. Ty
The matchup to watch just may be Ky Bowman for BC against Ty Jerome for UVA. Ky Bowman is all over the court for BC, scoring over 20 a game, as well as grabbing 7.8 rebounds and assisting on 3.6 scores per game. Junior Ty Jerome comes in averaging over 4 rebounds and assists per game, and 13.5 points as well. Will either of these players be the key to victory?
If there is one thing I am noticing with these free bet tips, it’s that I fall in love with these road favorite lines….a lot. I wish I could say I am breaking the habit tonight and stopping the bleeding. But I just can’t. Like Virginia’s offense, I will come around slowly, or maybe I am just to stubborn. Either way, for my free college basketball bet tip for tonight, I have to go with Virginia.
I don’t mind the eleven points, especially with one of the leading scorers out for BC. I would like to see the streak keep going on the road for the Cavaliers, and would like to start a win streak of my own!
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Virginia -11